Chhata: RLD’s Tejpal Singh is the sitting MLA here.
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If the polls are wrong, or if there’s a national swing in voter preferences toward Trump, then his odds should increase in many states at once: Nevada, Ohio, Florida, and so forth.
This adds extra uncertainty to the forecast, which widens the plausible range of electoral vote outcomes, and lowers Clinton’s chances of winning.
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I surveyed over 14,000 people on election day who had already cast their vote to help understand how this unexpected result came about.